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Over the past 7 days, the US dollar index rose for the second time in anticipation of a tightening of U.S. monetary policy. Federal Reserve. The Australian dollar weakened after the RBA Meeting Minutes and weak June retail sales data. Investors fear that the Reserve Bank of Australia will change its mind about cutting the economic stimulus program. Its next meeting will be on August 3. A meeting of the South African Reserve Bank took place on July 22. He kept the rate at 3.5%, but at the same time raised the forecast for South African GDP growth to 4.2% and lowered the inflation forecast to 4.3% (4.9% in June). This helped to strengthen the South African rand. The Canadian dollar weakened against the background of the correction in world oil prices. Coffee quotes have skyrocketed since November 2014 due to bad weather in Brazil. Conab expects Brazil's coffee harvest to decline this year by 23% to a 4-year low of 48.8 million bags.

Over the past 7 days, the US dollar index has risen in anticipation of a tightening of U.S. monetary policy. Federal Reserve. China posted unexpectedly weak macroeconomic data. In particular, GDP growth (+ 7.9%) in the 2nd quarter of this year in annual terms was significantly lower than the forecast (+ 11%). This contributed to the decline in stock prices of Chinese companies. The Polish zloty weakened on the back of a noticeable reduction in the trade and current account surplus in May. The decline in quotations of the South African rand was due to weak data on gold production (Gold Production) and other metals (Mining Production) in May.

Over the past 7 days, the US dollar index has corrected downward after a strong growth. Representatives of the U.S. The Federal Reserve said it should not rush to tighten monetary policy. The PRC authorities announced that they would oppose the growth of world prices for raw materials by selling part of the state reserves to their own Chinese companies. This should reduce imports of commodities to China and prevent further growth in their quotations. Against this background, shares of metallurgical companies fell in price, the South African rand weakened, and also pork quotes fell. In addition, inflation in South Africa increased significantly in May, which became an additional negative for the rand. Despite the correction, the US dollar was the growth leader against the currencies of many countries.

Over the past 7 days, the US dollar index has grown strongly. U.S. At the meeting on June 16, the Federal Reserve kept the current rate of 0.25% and the monthly volume of bond buybacks of $ 120 billion.However, at the same time it was announced that an increase in the rate by another 0.25% could occur in 2023, a year earlier than it was expected before. ... This message contributed to the strengthening of the American currency. At the same time, some stocks and personal stock-based composite instruments were down as a result of this. The Japanese yen strengthened ahead of the next meeting of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on June 18 and the publication of inflation data for May.

Over the past 7 days, the US dollar index has remained almost unchanged. Investors are waiting for the Fed meeting on June 16 or any announcements on monetary policy. Biogen Inc, an American biopharmaceutical company, has risen significantly after U.S. approval of Food and Drug Administration of its new drug Aduhelm for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease. The New Zealand dollar weakened slightly after the publication of negative economic data. Electronic Retail Card Spending rose less than expected in May. The ANZ Business Confidence indicator for June dropped. The Russian ruble has strengthened after the decision to zero the share of the US dollar in the Russian National Welfare Fund. Its dynamics was also positively influenced by the growth of world oil prices. The Turkish lira strengthened on the back of lower inflation in May to 16.6% (yoy) from 17.1% in April. Recall that the rate of the Central Bank of Turkey is 19%. He predicts a decline in Turkish inflation to 12.2% by the end of the year.

Over the past 7 days, the US dollar exchange rate has hardly changed. Investors are hoping for a tightening of the Fed's monetary policy amid high inflation. It is possible that the neutral trend for the dollar will continue until the publication of inflation for May, which will take place on June 10. It is forecast to grow to 4.8% in annual terms from 4.2% in May. The New Zealand dollar has strengthened significantly after the next meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), held on May 26. It kept the rate (0.25%) but hinted at the possibility of raising it in September 2022. The Turkish lira weakens ahead of the release of inflation data for May. In April, it skyrocketed to 17.1% in annual terms. In addition, a negative factor is the large volume of redemption of Turkish corporate and government bonds in June. The South African rand strengthened on the back of a record South African foreign trade surplus amid rising global prices for metals and commodities. In March, the surplus amounted to 52.8 billion rand, which is much higher than the forecast (35.6 billion rand). South Africa's trade balance for April will be released on May 31.

Over the past 7 days, the US dollar continued to weaken. Investors questioned the Fed's monetary tightening at its next meeting on June 16. The euro has strengthened as some market participants see it as an alternative to the US dollar. In addition, inflation remains low in the EU, in contrast to the US. In April, core inflation in the Eurozone was only 0.7% in annual terms. Copper fell after the Chinese authorities announced that too strong growth in the cost of non-ferrous metals and other raw materials could negatively affect the Chinese economy and they will make efforts to limit it. In the same context, there was a weakening of the currencies of such commodity countries as the New Zealand and Australian dollars.

Over the past 7 days, the US dollar has slightly strengthened. Investors expect the Fed to tighten its monetary policy amid a surge in inflation in April to 4.2% YOY. This is its maximum level since the crisis year of 2008. Amid the US dollar strengthening, gold fell slightly in price. Quotes for oil and other commodities are trading near multi-month highs. This contributed to the strengthening of the Canadian dollar and the South African rand. The Japanese yen showed slight weakening amid declines in the Eco Watchers Survey indicator and the Current Account balance.

Quotes for oil and other minerals continue to grow smoothly. Due to this fact, stocks of commodity companies such as Imperial Oil and Arconic, as well as currencies of commodity countries, were in demand. In addition to rising oil quotes, the Canadian dollar was supported by the decision of the Bank of Canada to tighten monetary policy by reducing the money emission for the purchase of assets by a quarter. At the same time, the Bank of Canada has so far kept its rate at the lowest level of 0.25%. Recall that before the coronavirus pandemic, it was 1.75%. Oil, gas and their derivatives are among the main export commodities of Canada. The Swedish krona weakened slightly amid an increase in the number of coronavirus cases in Sweden.

Over the past 7 days, the US dollar continued its weakening for the 4th week in a row. At the next meeting, the Fed kept the rate of 0.25%, the monthly issue of $ 120 billion for the purchase of assets and the general principles of its soft monetary policy. Against the backdrop of rising oil prices, the currencies of the oil-exporting countries, the Russian ruble and the Canadian dollar, strengthened. OPEC + will increase production by 350 thousand barrels per day (bpd) in May and by the same amount in June, as well as by 400 thousand in July. At the same time, OPEC predicts more significant increase in world oil demand by 6 million bvd for the entire current year. The strengthening of the Russian ruble was also facilitated by the increase in the Bank of Russia rate to 5% from 4.5%.

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